Top 20 MLB Players Who Will Decline in 2016

Do you remember the recent glory days of the Philadelphia Phillies? The Phillies won a division title in 2007 with an NL MVP season from star shortstop Jimmy Rollins. One year later they were World Series Champions. The Phillies later briefly added star pitcher Pedro Martinez followed by Roy Halladay and ended up with five straight NL West crowns.

Heading into the 2012 season, the Phillies were expected to compete for their sixth consecutive division title, but what they didn't anticipate was the decline to the core of their team. The Phillies fell hard and the Phillies fell fast. Suddenly they were no longer one of the crown jewels of the National League, but rather a team full of old guys who could no longer compete at the level that they had become accustomed to. Not being able to foresee their decline, they weren't able to get maximize the return for players they later had to ship out. They're only now beginning to rebuild the foundation of their roster, but they're stuck with a well past him prime Ryan Howard on an immovable contract.

The tough part if you're a Phillies fan is that their drop-off was somewhat predictable. You can often anticipate a player's decline when you look at all of the factors including their past and recent performances, age, and injury history. Although you can't always tell to what extent they'll drop-off and some players decline more slowly than others or simply defy the odds, if you're paying attention you can usually see when a player has past their peak.

As we prepare for another Major League season, we've compiled a list of 20 players that you should anticipate a declining in 2016.

20 Chris Colabello

John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

19 Corey Dickerson

Ed Szczepanski-USA TODAY Sports

18 Jake McGee

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

17 Ryan Madson

Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

16 Pablo Sandoval

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

15 Shin-Soo Choo

Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

14 Carlos Beltran

Andy Marlin-USA TODAY Sports

13 Brian Dozier

Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports

Brian Dozier has seen his home run totals increase in each of the last three seasons. The Minnesota Twins second baseman hit 18 home runs in 2013, 23 in 2014, and 28 in 2015. He also scored 101 runs last season while driving in 77. However, Dozier saw his walk rate decline from 2014 and struck out at a career high 21 percent rate in 2015. He also got worse as the season went on for the second straight year. Dozier's post All-Star break slash line in 2015 was .210/.280/.359 and his OPS dropped from .911 in June to .715 in July to .662 in August and .665 in September.

12 Matt Carpenter

Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

11 Mark Teixeira

Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

10 Todd Frazier

Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

9 Lorenzo Cain

Noah K. Murray-USA TODAY Sports

8 Yoenis Cespedes

Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports

7 Nelson Cruz

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

6 Alex Rodriguez

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

5 Albert Pujols

Jim Cowsert-USA TODAY Sports

4 Joey Votto

Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

3 Chris Davis

Mark L. Baer-USA TODAY Sports

2 Jake Arrieta

Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports

1 Zack Greinke

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Zack Greinke was about as ridiculously good for the Los Angeles Dodgers in 2015 as Arrieta was for the Cubs. He finished the season with a 19-3 record to go along with 200 strikeouts, while carrying a 1.66 ERA. That's an ERA that's half run lower than his previous career best set in 2009 with the Kansas City Royals. A drop-off in production would be expected under any circumstances, but Greinke will also be adjusting to a new and likely inferior team and leaving the pitcher friendly ballpark of Chavez Ravine for the less friendly, dry desert air of Chase Field. So, a decline to his numbers his pretty much guaranteed.

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Top 20 MLB Players Who Will Decline in 2016