While people speculate what will happen in future years of different sports leagues, athletics can be unpredictable. With some certainty, though, I am confident that I can project which players will not be playing in the NBA two years from now.
I have weighed and taken into account various factors. Surely, some of the oldest players in the league will have retired, but also, some of the worst players will have moved on to the D-League or foreign basketball leagues. There are two essential reasons a player retires from the NBA. 1: the player is too old and therefore retires for personal reasons, supposedly they have played in the league for quite some time or two; the player is unsatisfactory and unproductive and therefore, organizations have limited interest in employing them. While other factors contribute to a players retirement, these are the main points - of course some athletes just retire because they are bored of playing sports. This list comprises players who have either played too long in the NBA or just are one-dimensional and probably not meant to stick around the NBA. Like I said, sports can be difficult to project, but some of these guys, if not all, will surely be gone by 2018.
Here are 15 NBA Players Who Will Be Out Of The League By 2018.
15 Henry Ellenson
Ellenson will not be in the NBA by 2018. He was supposed to be a star coming out of Marquette, but few people now believe he will end up being good. While he has been in and out of the D League, Ellenson averaged 3.2 PPG and 7.7 minutes per game this past season with the Detroit Pistons. He may have potential at just 20 years old, but I don't see him ever blossoming into a capableNBA talent. It is very possible that he could succeed in the European circuit, but America may not be his best bet for making money playing basketball at the pro level. Ellenson was supposed to prosper from high school, but he has been mostly irrelevant in the NBA.
14 Mike Dunleavy Jr.
Mike will be going on 38 in 2018. Not only that, but he will never be the same player he once was - most notably on the Indiana Pacers. He, at one point, averaged 19.1 PPG, but now, most recently, he averaged 5.6 PPG with the Atlanta Hawks. He used to be a dominant shooter and hefty big man in the paint, but old age has gotten the best of him. For one, he could be a solid coach at the college level or pro level, like his father.
While I think Dunleavy had a good and well career, his time of being good in the NBA is done. I could really see him being a coach one day, but this may just be because his father is.
13 Udonis Haslem
It feels like Udonis has been on the Miami Heat since the team became an expansion organization. The guy bleeds black and red.
After going un drafted in 2002, Haslem joined the Heat in 2003. For 14 years, the organization and its fans have somewhat liked him (I wouldn't say loved him). No matter, the guy had three NBA championships under his belt - for being lucky enough to have been on the same team as the Big 3 (LBJ, BOSH, WADE).
At 36 years old, the guy is not much of a threat on the court. Actually, he was never really a good player (except for maybe the 2007-08 NBA season). He now averages 1.6 PPG with the Heat and the organization may finally get rid of him after all this time.
12 Mike Miller
Mike Miller, like Haslem, seems like he played on the Miami Heat for a century. He is 37 years old, odd as it sounds, and is probably one of the most irrelevant players in the NBA. He averaged 1.4 PPG with the Nuggets this past season and 1.3 PPG the season before that. He was once regarded as a pretty solid shooter, notably during the 2006-07 NBA season, but he is unfortunately too old for the league. With any luck, if he wants to continue to make money playing basketball, he will land on a foreign team that needs some help at the guard spot. Miller is a veteran who never really elevated his career to the next, and better, step. His time in the NBA seems it will be over very soon.
11 Tony Parker
Tony Parker has had a great career. While he is not the same flashy guard he once was, by no means is he professionally irrelevant. Parker remains a PG legend. He is 34 years old and if the Spurs do not win a championship in the next two seasons, I envision him retiring. He has enjoyed immense success with Duncan and Manu, but their time as being dominant is over. It is Kawhi's turn.
Tony Parker could go overseas, but I probably see him just retiring and relaxing after basketball. I am sure he is worn out after all the intense playoff battles and regular seasons. Parker has spend significant time playing basketball, so once he feels his time with the Spurs is over, he'll just want to hang it up.
10 Joe Johnson
Joe Johnson has almost revitalized his career with the Jazz. People criticized his decision to keep playing in the NBA because they thought he would ruin his image - but he has done the opposite. As a veteran leader in Utah, the organization has used him a lot. Truthfully, Joe used to put up great numbers (averaging upwards of 22 PPG). While he now averaged under 12 PPG, Joe is an impressive veteran presence for the Jazz to utilize. He has been in 11 playoffs and been on some good Atlanta Hawks teams. He is a versatile guard who can defend pretty well.
Joe will probably not play overseas but I wouldn't rule it out. Many outdated and former NBA stars sometimes elect to play in a beautiful country because the benefits are amazing: good pay and good views.
9 Richard Jefferson
Jefferson could be a coach one day. He has a great basketball IQ and seems to be pretty good with people (also his teammates really like him). Now 36, the Cavaliers seem to find him to be a valuable role player. Jefferson plays good defense and helped Cleveland get a championship the year before. Clearly, he used to put up All Star numbers. Through the years and with age, his productiveness has declined. Richard will probably retire at the end of this season or the next. If Cleveland wins it all this year, it may be a great way for Jefferson to ride out of the league - a knight in shining armor. Richard is one of the friendliest NBA players and a guy who his teammates definitely like being around.
8 Metta World Peace
Metta, formerly Ron Artest, will undoubtably retire by the end of this season. At 37 years old, the guy is kind of just rude to players on the court nowadays. He averaged a poor 5 PPG from 16.9 MPG this past season and does not really fit in the league anymore. At one point, Peace was a great defender who could tenaciously rebound. Now, he is a little washed up. With his brand, he should consider building a business after the NBA. No matter if you like him or not, he has turned heads all over the world as a non-conformist. He will retire. Metta is an okay team player but he used to be a more productive athlete - notably on the Rockets. The Lakers have enjoyed his presence but the team is not going anywhere.
7 James Michael McAdoo
McAdoo never really ended up being close to as good as his UNC teammate Harrison Barnes. While he may have a championship under his belt with the Warriors, I wouldn't really say he contributed much to the title. McAdoo last played with the Warriors, but floated out to the Santa Cruz Warriors. While he may not be completely out of the NBA, my bet would be that he goes somewhere overseas in the next couple years. The NBA has not been a great place for him, so I could totally see him playing somewhere like Spain or France. McAdoo was lucky to be a part and contributor of a great team - and an eventual championship - but he may prosper overseas in a less intense atmosphere.
6 Vince Carter
Vince Carter used to be a beast. The basketball legend will be going on 42 by 2018, so it seems very unlikely that he will remain playing in the NBA. Even at 40 years of age, Vince has been a productive forward for the Memphis Grizzlies. During this past year, he averaged 8 PPG, 3.1 RPG, and 24.6 MPG. While he is not the same scorer he once was with the Toronto Raptors - notably in 2001 - Vince is still a threat. He has always been a really aggressive paint player and plays good defense. His run will be coming to an end; if Vince did not retire by 2018 he would have defied a lot of NBA odds. Vince Carter is a great team player who I could imagine coaching or mentoring younger players, but his days are limited in the league.
5 Pau Gasol
Gasol, now a San Antonio Spur, will retire by 2018. He is still a very helpful forward in the paint, but if he does not win a championship in the next two seasons, Gasol will hang up his jersey for good. After all, Pau is now 36 years old and has played in the NBA for 16 years. His best years are certainly behind him, but it is not like he is totally unproductive. The spurs play him, on average, 25.4 MPG and utilize him effectively.
The Spanish menace down low will retire by 2018, and will probably be honored around the league for his basketball contributions. Pau certainly is still a good player, but he and his brother Marc are nearing the end of the basketball line.
4 Jason Terry
Terry used to be one of the leagues premier guards - but most notably one of the best shooters in the NBA. Now 39 years old, he will retire either next year or this year. The Bucks found him somewhat useful, as he averaged 5.9 PPG and averaged 17.5 MPG this past regular season. So far in the playoffs, Terry is averaging a decent 7 PPG. While he is not as good as he was previously in his career, when you're 39 years old you cannot expect a lot of production - your body wears down athletically. Jason Terry was a pretty good player at one point who brought a lot to the league, but his production is down - or rather - his body is a little worn out.
3 Roy Hibbert
Hibbert has been a bust. While he had a good career with the Georgetown Hoyas, he had a horrible 2016-17 NBA season. With the Nuggets, he averaged 0.7 PPG and .3 RPG. In other words, he is completely irrelevant.
But it is not like Roy just was playing poorly this past season. He averaged 5.7 PPG during the 2015-16 NBA season with the Lakers and has been a bad rebounder for quite some time now. Hibbert will either retire or head overseas by 2018. After his stint with Charlotte and Denver, both of which yielded unsuccessful outcomes, I don't see why a team would want to keep him on their roster. He is simply an unproductive player. Hibbert lacks basic coordination is one of the most underdeveloped players.
2 Manu Ginobili
Manu will retire within the next couple years. While the Spurs have a chance at winning a title within that time frame, he is significantly less productive compared to his younger days in the NBA. While he averaged 9.6 PPG this past season, he clearly is not moving or passing the ball as well as he used to. Manu is now 39 years old and he should retire while he is still putting up okay numbers. The Spurs certainly do not need him anymore, as they already begun preparing for the departure of Tony Parker, Pau Gasol, and Manu Ginobili. The 6-foot-6 guard had a great career and was respected for his clutch ability from the three point line, but he would be smart to retire and not tarnish his image with bad stats in coming years.
1 Dirk Nowitzki
Dirk has announced that he will stay another season in the NBA - or more specifically with the Dallas Mavericks. After next season, I am sure that he will retire. Now 38 years old, the 7 footer should retire while he is still putting up respectable numbers. He was drafted in 1998, making him one of the leagues oldest players.
Too many NBA players hang around the league and tarnish their legacy. For example, Tracy McGrady, Allen Iverson, Chris Webber, and Gerald Wallace all should have retired earlier. Dirk averaged just above 14 PPG this past season, making him a productive veteran. After the 2017-18 NBA season, Nowitzki will retire, forever a Dallas Maverick. That's the way it should be, as it would be weird to see Dirk in another uniform.