On Aug. 26, 2017, the world will be watching to see what happens when Conor McGregor takes on Floyd Mayweather in an MMA meets professional boxing bout. The odds have come in and McGregor is the clear underdog. Still, there are some that believe (even if they know otherwise) that McGregor has a shot at winning.
The reality is, whatever shot McGregor might have, it’s no better than the smallest percentage ever given to one opponent could have in the history of combat sports. Everything on paper says this is going to be a cake-walk for Mayweather.
Here are the five biggest reasons Conor McGregor doesn’t stand a chance.
5. Mayweather Can’t Be Hit
Because all McGregor has is the ability to throw punches in a boxing match, the one thing he’ll have to do is land a power shot. There is only one problem with that, Mayweather is the greatest defensive boxer to ever live. In Mayweather’s past 15 fights he has allowed opponents to land just 18.9 percent of their punches. That’s 18.9 percent against actual boxers like Oscar De La Hoya, Ricky Hatton, Shane Mosley, Canelo Alvarez and Manny Pacquiao.
4. McGregor Will Get Tired
Because McGregor is going to miss a lot, he’ll be tired quickly. And this is a fighter who hasn’t been known to be in the best cardio shape throughout his career. McGregor has the ability to KO opponents quickly but tends to gas as a fight goes on.
In McGregor’s 24 professional MMA fights, he has only ever fought more than 10 minutes twice and has an average fight time of five minutes and 18 seconds. Mayweather is going to try to intentionally wear him down. This isn’t a normal fight for Mayweather, but if it were, he likes to take things the distance. He’s done so in each of his past seven bouts. Mayweather’s average fight time is 33 minutes and 36 seconds.
3. McGregor Will Be Over Aggressive to Mayweather’s Speed
Because McGregor wants to prove he can, he’ll go after Mayweather quickly and be too aggressive. That’s going to force him to throw punches and land shots against a fighter known as one of the best counter punchers in the world. The minute McGregor misses and lets his guard down, Mayweather will strike using his speed to overtake the MMA fighter.
Even if Mayweather doesn’t have the power to knock out McGregor with one shot, there are only so many counter shots McGregor can take before that becomes an issue. One of two things will happen. McGregor will get frustrated and more sloppy, or he’ll get tagged early and become defensive which means he’s toast.
2. McGregor Has To Climb A Mountain
In 49 professional fights, boxers who trained their lives to beat a guy like Floyd Mayweather couldn’t do it. McGregor has to show the world he’s the first guy out of everyone to do what no one else has ever done. All Mayweather has to do is not lose.
The reality is, for McGregor, if he lasts even a few rounds, it will be considered a victory for MMA. He is repping an entire industry the way Brock Lesnar or CM Punk represented wrestling coming into UFC. That’s so much more pressure than Mayweather has, which is to simply not get embarrassed.
1. This Is A Boxing Match
At the end of the day, this is a boxing match and not a fight. This is Mayweather’s territory and McGregor is simply a visitor. When you have the home field advantage like Mayweather does (even if the fans aren’t necessarily with you) you have the upper hand in a major way.
Everyone knows if this was a fight, Mayweather would be done if he didn’t land a punch in the first few seconds. Why people think with the roles reversed the outcome would go any other way than Mayweather’s is absurd.
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