Some say that the QB position in football is the toughest in all of sports, and with all the talented players we see failing or getting cut, it’s very hard to judge who will and won’t win a Super Bowl. Looking back on history, the Super Bowl ring can be used as a mark of greatness for a player, the likes of Tom Brady, Ben Roethlisberger and Joe Montana all managed to win multiple, and while not achieving this feat won’t ruin a career, it certainly lessens the achievements of legends, for example Dan Marino.
So today we will look at some current quarterbacks who will win a Super Bowl throughout their career, and some who will unfortunately fall short of this great honor.
Author's note: I realize that Brock Osweiler has already won a Super Bowl, but this list refers to starting quarterbacks, as he was a backup for the victory.
15 Will: Marcus Mariota
Marcus Mariota led one of the most high powered offenses in the history of college football, winning a Heisman Trophy with Oregon on the way to being the #2 overall pick in the 2014 draft. During his brief time in the NFL so far, Mariota has improve drastically as a leader, and passing the ball, and still has all the explosiveness that made him such a great player at the college level. His Titans team is on the rise too, and with improvements on the defensive side of the ball, could be a serious contender in the near future, and with his talent and amazing leadership, it wouldn’t surprise many people to see Mariota hoisting the Lombardi Trophy sometime during his career.
14 Won’t: Matthew Stafford
Matthew Stafford has always been known for having a tremendous arm, and although fans expected a drop off after the retirement of “Megatron” Calvin Johnson, the Lions and Stafford improved out of sight, making the playoffs in a tough NFC. Despite these improvements and the incredible clutch play throughout the year, the Lions team just isn’t capable of playing well down the stretch, and when you’re in the same division as Aaron Rodgers, you stand even less of a chance of winning. One day we may look back on Stafford as one of the greatest passers in the history of the game, but unfortunately it will be just that, as he will fail to have any significant team success to go along with his prolific passing records.
13 Will: Cam Newton
Cam Newton came close to a Super Bowl victory in his MVP season a year ago, but Von Miller and the retiring Legend Peyton Manning stood in his way, as the Panthers fell short to the dominant Broncos. Many people expected the Panthers to repeat this form in 2016, but consistency issues from both Newton and the D hindered the team all season long, falling short of the high-flying Falcons who captured the NFC South. Cam shouldn’t be too discouraged, as he is one of the most talented and physically dominant QB’s to come into the NFL in quite some time. The NFC is gradually getting deeper and tougher, but if the Panthers can return to their 2015 form, Newton will one day be able to lead them one step further than their efforts in Super Bowl 50.
12 Won’t: Tony Romo
Tony Romo is one of the most polarizing stars in the NFL, with some fans in awe of what he can do when healthy, and the shots he can take while soldiering on, whereas others focus on his lack of success in the post season, and his unfortunate tendency to get injured rather easily in the latter stages of his career. Whatever your feelings, Romo is a standout QB in Cowboys history, but the team will be looking to move on from him this offseason, with the position now seemingly set with Dak Prescott at the helm. Unless Romo can magically rid himself of the back and shoulder issues he has had the past few years, his new team won’t see him to much longevity, and although he has the talent to take a team all the way, he has just become way too injury prone to last all the way through the grueling playoffs.
11 Will: Jameis Winston
Jameis Winston came into the NFL with severe questions surrounding his character, but at the ripe age of 20 with an incredible on field college career under his belt, he was too tempting for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass up on with their #1 overall pick. Despite playing on a sub-par Bucs team, Winston has put together back to back phenomenal years, and with the team around him steadily improving, it looks as though he will be contending for a Super Bowl ring sooner, rather than later. This improvement can be attributed to Dirk Koetter, who has been incredibly influential as the QB coach and now head coach for Winston, and if the two can stick together, we will no doubt see them raise the Lombardi trophy together.
10 Won’t: Brock Osweiler
When Brock Osweiler took over for Peyton Manning during the 2015-16 season, it looked as though he had won his job as the Bronco’s starting QB for the near future. Manning returned however, and led the Broncos to an amazing Super Bowl victory, thanks in large part to his defense. Osweiler then decided to sign a whopping 4-year, $72 million contract, and struggled throughout his first season. His team remains hopeful after a first round playoff victory this year, but it’s unlikely that Osweiler will ever be able to lead his team all the way. His struggles this year have exposed his major weaknesses, and with teams like the Raiders, Patriots and Steelers surrounding him in the AFC, it’s likely that Brock will never be able to lead a team to the promised lands.
9 Will: Dak Prescott
When Tony Romo got injured early in the 2016 offseason, the Cowboys turned to the Rookie pairing of Ezekiel Elliot and QB Dak Prescott, drafted in the 4th round of the draft. It seems like a long time ago now, but no doubt the Cowboys couldn’t wait to get their veteran back, but after a month of play, it was obvious that Romo wasn’t going to get his spot back upon his return. With such a dominant offensive line and an amazing group of running backs, it seems as though Prescott could be at the head of a new Cowboys dynasty, and although he may couldn’t break the long standing record and be the first rookie QB to win a Super Bowl, he will definitely return the Cowboys to prominence with a win at some point throughout his career.
8 Won’t: Alex Smith
With his career window at Super Bowl glory rapidly closing, the former first overall pick Alex Smith and the Kansas City Chiefs again fell short of making a mark in the playoffs, falling to the Pittsburgh Steelers 18-16. Smith came into the league all the way back in 2005, and unfortunately for the Chiefs, their QB is going in the opposite direction of that year's #24 overall pick, Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers continues to raise his game and carry the Packers, but the Chiefs may be losing patience with Smith, a game manager who just can’t seem to get it done when it matters most. Whether it’s due to his own weaknesses in throwing the ball deep or the teams lack of success against stiff competition, Smith will unfortunately fail to win a Super Bowl, with his best chance coming a few years ago with the 49ers.
7 Will: Kirk Cousins
Kirk Cousins started out his NFL career as a backup to Robert Griffin III, and after Griffins incredible rookie year, Kirk would have been forgiven for thinking that he was going to be Washington’s backup for years to come. Fate had other ideas however, as Griffin battled injuries and personnel problems, leaving the door wide open for Cousins to win the starting job. He did that in impressive fashion, but still hadn’t won the trust of the organization, with them slapping the franchise tag on him during this past offseason. After an amazing campaign in 2016, he will be expecting to get paid like an elite QB, and with the way he has performed thus far in his career, Cousins may just reward Washington with its first Super Bowl in years.
6 Won’t: Carson Wentz
Midway through the 2016 season, you would have been forgiven for thinking that Carson Wentz was going to lead his red hot Eagles team all the way in just his first season, but his rookie weaknesses were exposed and the team petered out, falling to 4th place in the NFC East. Despite the tough competition, especially at the QB position within his own division, fans are left hopeful that Wentz can be the one to lead them back to prominence. Unfortunately, the division and the conference will be too tough for him to truly thrive in, and although he will have some great years throughout his career, Wentz will unfortunately not lead the Eagles to his and the teams maiden Super Bowl.
5 Will: Jimmy Garoppolo
After years of drafting QBs to be the heir to Tom Brady, it seems that the Patriots may have finally found their man, despite Brady still playing at an MVP level just 1 year away from 40 years of age. With Brady suspended for 4 games early in the year, Garoppolo made his mark in 2 starts, leading the Pats to 2 decisive wins, looking like the leader that the Patriots expect him to be. With the amazing Bill Belichick as the Head Coach, it’s hard to imagine that the Patriots will fall off that much when the eventual Brady retirement comes, and if Jimmy can play up to the obvious potential he has, he should be able to begin another Patriots dynasty, especially if Rob Gronkowski can stay healthy.
4 Won’t: Robert Griffin III
Robert Griffin has had a terrible fall from grace in the past 4 years, as he won Rookie of the Year in the 2012 season, and has struggled to even compete at the NFL level since then. He has been ousted from Washington after several mediocre, injury riddled seasons, with his job being taken over by Kirk Cousins, who looks to be making the spot his own. Now Griffin finds himself in the unluckiest spot in the NFL, QB for a Browns team who look to be going nowhere, who also can’t find a way to protect an already injury prone QB. The Browns will no doubt improve under RG3, especially with the young talent they’re building up, but unfortunately he won’t be the QB to finally see them back to long term success and playoff wins.
3 Will: Matt Ryan
Matt Ryan is the only player on this list who is left with a chance at his maiden Super Bowl in 2016/17, and after the season he had in which he and the Falcons looked to have finally reached their potential, anything is possible. Aaron Rodgers may be standing in their way, but the way that Matty Ice matured this season with his consistency and leadership, they should be confident heading into the NFC Championship game. Ever since coming out of Boston College 8 years ago, Ryan has been tagged as a future elite QB in the NFL, and although his team may not win it this year, the realizing of potential will no doubt lead to a Matt Ryan Super Bowl victory before his career is out (and a few passing records too).
2 Won’t: Andrew Luck
As much as I hate to say it, as I am a big fan of the talent that Andrew Luck is, but the way the Colts team is constructed, he will be lucky to reach a Super Bowl, let alone win one. Ever since his amazing rookie year, which was somewhat overshadowed by RG3, whether it be due to injuries or the regression of his team, it seems that Luck’s production has gone down annually. That development has been hindered mostly due to injuries, as Luck is hit far more than any other QB in the entire NFL, and if the Colts don’t fix their running game and offensive line, the Colts won’t even be worried about winning a ring, they will struggle to even make the playoffs.
1 Will: Derek Carr
If not for an injury late in the 2016 season, Carr could have been looking at both the MVP award and a Super Bowl ring, but with a young, hungry, talented team around him, there will be plenty of opportunities for Carr. Since he was drafted in the second round of the 2014 draft, Carr has improved along with his Raiders team every step of the way, and with young stars Khalil Mack and Amari Cooper around him, it’s easy to imagine that the Raiders could be a powerhouse in the AFC for years to come. Hopefully the young star can recover from his injury well, because Brady and Roethlisberger are both ageing, and it seems that the Raiders could take over from the dominance that the Patriots and Steelers have enjoyed over the past decade.