Many were in shock when the Los Angeles Rams moved up from number 15 in the 2016 NFL Draft to pick number one. Just a few days later, the Philadelphia Eagles stunned many by trading with the Cleveland Browns up to the no.2 pick. The Philadelphia Eagles got the no.2 pick in the draft and a 2017 fourth round pick, while the Browns received the 8th, 77th, and 100th picks in the 2016 NFL draft, a 2017 first round pick, and a 2018 second round pick.
The history of trading up high in the draft to get a quarterback is not good. The most recent case saw the Washington Redskins give up way more than the Eagles gave up to get the no.2 pick in 2012. The Redskins selected Robert Griffin III, and he is ironically now with the Cleveland Browns. He has been underwhelming since he came into the league, and he is just the latest example of failed attempts at trading up. The Eagles are now trying their hand at the risky business of trading up to the top of the draft.
The risks certainly outweigh the rewards, but if Carson Wentz ends up being an elite quarterback in the NFL the trade will be a major success. If Carson Wentz ends up being a bust, the Eagles will have mortgaged their future in order to get a mediocre player. Both Jared Goff and Carson Wentz are two of the most underwhelming top two quarterbacks to ever be selected one and two in the draft. The Eagles will most likely regret making this trade in the future based on similar trades made in the past.
Here are 15 reasons why the Eagles will regret moving up and drafting Carson Wentz.
15. The Eagles Lost a 2nd Round Pick
Another valuable asset that the Eagles had to give up to move up in the draft was a 2018 second round draft pick. Second round picks are not always guaranteed to be stars in the NFL, but they are usually very dependable players. Eric Kendricks looks like he will be a valuable part of the Minnesota Vikings stout defense after being selected in the second round in 2015. Derek Carr was selected in the second round of the 2014 NFL draft, and he is one of the best young quarterbacks in the NFL today.
Although second round picks do not always hit, they usually provide a team with depth on the roster. The Eagles have a lot of holes. Losing a second round pick may hurt the Eagles chances of being able to replenish their depth chart.
14. The Eagles Lost a 1st Round Pick
The Eagles had to part ways with a 2017 first round pick in order to move all the way up to the second pick in the draft. First round picks provide teams with difference making players, and losing an asset as big as a first round pick can sometimes negatively affect a team’s rebuilding efforts. In 2015, players such as Jameis Winston and Marcus Mariota were difference makers for their respective teams. In the middle of the first round Todd Gurly and Marcus Peters proved that they are future stars. Missing out on players like the ones mentioned above can really haunt a franchise, so Philadelphia Eagles fans will be hoping that the Cleveland Browns do not get this pick right next draft.
13. The Eagles Already Signed Chase Daniel
Chase Daniel became one of the richest backup quarterbacks in the NFL this offseason. He has not proven much at the NFL level. In his three previous seasons with the Kansas City Chiefs, Daniel threw for 409 yards, one touchdown and one interception, but he does possess knowledge of the new offense that the Eagles will be running next season. He was coached by current Eagles head coach Doug Pederson, and can be valuable from the aspect of teaching Sam Bradford the offense. Teams normally do not draft players second overall and sit them on the bench. Rarely do teams draft a kid this high and make them the third stringer, and this may be the case during the 2016 NFL season.
12. Next Year is a Deeper Draft for QBs
This year’s draft class was rich with talent on the offensive and defensive lines, but was not the best for skill positions, considering the rich QB class of 2012 and the deep WR draft in 2014. This wasn’t the year to draft a QB high, much less trade up for one. Next year’s draft will feature Deshaun Watson and Brad Kaaya, who are both expected to be top-five picks. Both guys are more exciting quarterback prospects than Goff or Wentz. While it’s important to find a franchise quarterback, reaching for one is not the answer.
11. The Eagles May Have Been Able to Get Wentz at no.6
Let’s examine the quarterback situations of teams ahead of the Eagles at pick number 8 to better understand if they would have taken a chance on Carson Wentz. The Chargers have an elite quarterback in Philip Rivers, and the Cowboys ludicrously think Tony Romo can play another 3 to 4 years at a high level. The Jaguars have a young promising quarterback in Blake Bortles and the Ravens have a top 10 quarterback in Joe Flacco. The 49ers are the only team at 7 who were really in the market for a quarterback, so it would be logical to trade up to no.6, ahead of the 49ers, and then draft Carson Wentz and give up much less than they gave to the Browns for the second overall pick.
10. The Eagles Could Have Selected an Offensive Lineman
The Eagles’ offensive line last season was extremely thin. A recipe for success in the NFL is having a solid offensive line, that is superior at pass and run protecting for their quarterback and running back. Ronnie Stanley was selected sixth overall by the Ravens. Jack Conklin was selected eighth overall by the Titans, and this is where the Eagles were going to be picking before they executed this blockbuster deal with the Cleveland Browns.
Laremy Tunsil was thought to be one of the top talents in the draft, but slipped to number 13 because of a video that showed Tunsil doing drugs. All three of these offensive linemen would have given the Eagles a solid young line for years to come.
9. The Eagles Could Have Drafted a Wide Receiver
The Eagles currently have an extremely mediocre group of wide receivers. They signed Rueben Randle in the offseason, but he is not a game changer. Randle is an average at best wide receiver, who could flourish if the Eagles had a star wide receiver on the other side of the field. Jordan Matthews is a decent wide receiver, but is thought to be only a slot receiver. A player like Laquon Treadwell or Corey Coleman would have instantly made the Eagles much better at the wide receiver position. Even receivers such as Josh Doctson and Will Fuller would have stretched the field, which would benefit all the other receivers on the team.
8. The Eagles Could Have Taken a Cornerback
The Eagles have struggled to produce good cornerbacks since Andy Reid was fired, and it has been a bit of a carousel at the position the past few years. Eric Rowe was drafted in the second round last year, and could be a good player, but last year he was just learning the NFL game. Jalen Ramsey was considered the best player in the draft by many. Ramsey is projected to be a shutdown corner, and with the solid safeties that the Eagles possess, the Philly back four would be daunting with Ramsey on one side. The Eagles would have still needed to trade up to get Jalen Ramsey, but he is more of a sure thing than Carson Wentz.
7. The Eagles Could’ve Traded Back for More Picks
Chip Kelly is responsible for many of the Eagles’ current woes. They are in a clear rebuilding stage, and the draft is the best way to build an elite team. The Eagles gave up their 2016 second round draft pick when acquiring Sam Bradford last offseason. The Eagles could have moved back in the 2016 NFL Draft in order to recoup a second round pick or maybe even multiple draft picks. The more chances a team has at drafting in the early rounds, the more likely a team can hit on a superstar player that will tremendously help the franchise succeed in the future.
6. The Eagles Already Had Sam Bradford
The Eagles last season did not have many issues at the quarterback position. The team did not play up to par, but Sam Bradford did not play poor football. It is apparent that Bradford is a middle of the road quarterback. He did begin playing better towards the end of the season, despite the constant issues that were surrounding the team as a whole. He was extremely accurate by completing 65% of his passes. After struggling with interceptions early on, he managed to only throw 14 interceptions and 19 touchdowns in 14 games during the 2015 NFL season. These stats are not great, but they are not abysmal either, and some may wonder why the Eagles needed to draft a quarterback with the second overall pick in the draft.
5. And They Made Him Disgruntled
Anyone who follows sports even to the smallest degree knows about how upset Sam Bradford was when the Eagles traded up for the no.2 pick in the draft to draft his eventual replacement. His agent Tom Condon has been on numerous radio shows proclaiming that his client was wronged by the Eagles. Some agree with Sam Bradford, and think it is unfair that the Eagles have not allowed Bradford to be the long term starter at quarterback for the Eagles.
Most Philadelphia fans have shunned Sam Bradford. Most think Bradford needs to prove he is a long term starter in the NFL, and if he proves it in the 2016 NFL season there will be teams willing to take a chance on him.
4. Carson Wentz May Not Contribute Right Away
When drafting a player in the first round, it is almost certain that the player being drafted will be an impact player that will get a lot of playing time during his rookie season. Quarterbacks drafted recently like Jameis Winston and Marcus Mariota have been key contributors right away for their respective teams. The Philadelphia Eagles already have their starting quarterback from last season under contract for the 2016 season. This will make it difficult for Carson Wentz to get any snaps during the regular season unless the team struggles enormously, and the Eagles decide to let Carson Wentz get a few starts towards the end of the season to get some experience.
3. The Eagles May Not be a Better Team Next Season
Many teams that pick towards the top of the draft expect that the players they have selected will positively impact their upcoming season. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers were able to do this last season when they selected Jameis Winston first overall in 2015. The Buccaneers had been dreadful during the 2014 NFL season, but with the help of Jameis Winston they doubled their win total from the previous season. The Eagles may not get any production from Carson Wentz during the 2016 season. Wentz may not even play a snap during the regular season, and it is hard to imagine the Eagles being able to eclipse the seven wins they had in 2015 with not a whole lot of improvement taking place through the draft for the team.
2. Historically, Trading Up to Draft a Quarterback Has Not Worked Out
The history of trading up in the draft in hopes of nabbing a franchise quarterback has failed on multiple occasions. We have seen sure things in college like Robert Griffin III struggle mightily at the NFL level when the Redskins traded up to draft him. The Jets traded up to draft Mark Sanchez, and he never proved to be a viable option for the Jets. If Sanchez was maybe just a little bit better, the Jets may have won a Super Bowl during his tenancy as Jets starter. The Eagles can only hope Carson Wentz does not follow in Robert Griffin III and Mark Sanchez’s foot steps.
1. Wentz Hasn’t Been Tested With Elite Competition
Carson Wentz is a potential bust. He came from an FCS school, which is alarming because most NFL elite quarterbacks came from FBS schools. The elite NFL quarterbacks such as Tom Brady, Cam Newton, Russell Wilson and many others went to elite college programs in major FBS conferences. Wentz not only played against inferior competition, he also only participated in 1 full college football season. Quarterbacks in college depend on repetition to succeed at the next level. Carson Wentz’s lack of playing time in Division 1AA raises red flags, and it is a big time reach to draft him no. 2 overall.
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