With the schedule for the 2017 being official, and training camp seems like it is right around the corner, it is time to take a peek into the 2017 NFL season. One of the more important positions in the National Football League is the quarterback position. The quarterbacks are the leaders of the offense, and are there to help run the offense as smoothly as possible. Without a quarterback, the offense can't run the way that the offensive coordinator had planned.
There are 32 individuals that have the responsibility of being the starting quarterback for their team, and they have to live up to the potential that their offensive coordinator and head coach has for them. With that being said not only does the offense run through the quarterback they have to make specific reads that can help the offense strive in game. They have to make adjustments that are necessary for their team to succeed on the offensive side of the field. The quarterbacks throw the ball to their receivers and the majority of them have very good success with throwing touchdown passes to their receivers. The limit for a good season when it comes to passing touchdowns is 30. Thirty touchdowns passing as a quarterback is considered a great season for a quarterback as an individual.
Some quarterbacks have to throw over 30 touchdowns in a season so that their team is able to compete for a chance to play for a Super Bowl title. With that being said her are 8 quarterbacks that will throw for 30 touchdown passes in 2017 and 7 that won't.
15 Will - Eli Manning
The New York Giants are poised to have a successful regular season like they did in 2016, but they are looking to do better than they did in the playoffs. Eli has one of the best wide receiver duos in recent memory in Odell Beckham Jr., and the newly signed Brandon Marshall. Having those two bid deep threats on the same field means that there is no reason why Eli should not throw over 30 touchdown passes in 2017.
To go along with those two monsters the Giants also have Sterling Shepard, Will Tye, and rookie Evan Engram as part of the targets that Eli has to work with in 2017. Look for the Giants to be one of the better teams when it comes to passing yards, and look for Eli to go over 30 passing touchdowns with ease.
14 Won't - Alex Smith
Alex Smith is a quality quarterback, but when it comes to touchdown passes he has never thrown for more than 23 touchdowns in a single season. Smith is a game manager, and it has shown in the past in the regular season. With that being said it is not that Smith has not had talented receivers around him cause he has. He focuses on working the running game at all times, and passes when he sees the opportunity to strike against the defense.
Smith's receiving core consists of Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, Jeremy Maclin, Chris Conley, and company. Kelce is a big tight end that is one of the best receiving tight ends in the league today while the majority of Smith's receivers are speed demons. Kansas City's receivers are all fast and can run routes great with their amazing speed, but the way that Alex Smith plays there is no way that this will be his first season of throwing over 30 touchdown passes in a single season.
13 Will - Phillip Rivers
The Los Angeles Chargers have a quarterback who the offense runs completely through him. With Melvin Gordon having a break out season last season, it opened the play action up for the Chargers and it helps Rivers with his stats. Phillip Rivers has thrown for 30 plus touchdowns five times in his 13th season in the NFL. With the Chargers looking to improve their offensive game from a season ago it sure looks like Rivers will throw 30 plus touchdowns with the receiving core that he has.
Rivers has Keenan Allen, Dontrelle Inman, Travis Benjamin, (rookie) Mike Williams, Tyrell Williams, Antonio Gates, Hunter Henry, etc... The Chargers drafted Mike Williams with the 7th overall pick and he is a legit deep threat that can help take Los Angeles to the next level. With all these talented players in Rivers' receiving core, I don't see Rivers throwing for under 30 touchdown passes this season.
12 Won't - Dak Prescott
Dak Prescott took the league by storm a year ago, when he led the Dallas Cowboys to the playoffs with a 13-3 record and received the number one seed in the NFC. The thing though, is the Cowboys were a run heavy team and Prescott did not throw the ball that much. Prescott was not needed to throw for over 30 touchdown passes due to their effective running game, and that led him to not have to throw the ball more than he needed to.
The Cowboys have some talent at receiver/tight end in Dez Bryant, Cole Beasley, Terrance Williams, and Jason Witten, which is good for Prescott to have, but at the same time that running offense is so lethal due to their offensive line that Prescott will not be throwing for 30 touchdowns. With that being said Prescott is a game manager, and he doesn't focus on his stats so look for Prescott's passing touchdown total to be under 30 in 2017.
11 Will - Jameis Winston
Winston has been a spark plug for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and has helped turn the franchise around in the right direction in only two seasons. Going into his third season Tampa Bay has had some serious talent for the receiving core to be even better than it was a season ago. Winston had 28 passing touchdowns a season ago, and it looks like he will only improve his numbers with this receiving core that he has for this upcoming season.
Tampa Bay has Mike Evans, Cameron Brate, free agent signee DeSean Jackson, first round pick O.J. Howard, etc... Mike Evans is Winston's number one target and with the addition to DeSean Jackson it will help take some of the pressure off of Evans and will help make that offense even more lethal. Look for a career year out of Jameis Winston in 2017.
10 Won't - Brian Hoyer
Brian Hoyer is poised to be the starting quarterback for the San Francisco 49ers to start off the 2017 season, but he is definitely not a quarterback who could throw for 30 touchdowns next season. Hoyer has yet to spend a full season in the NFL as a starting quarterback, and has not thrown for more than 19 touchdowns in a single season. He has spent eight seasons in the league, and has yet to find success in the NFL due to the fact that the 49ers will be his sixth team that he has played for.
Hoyer's receiving core has Pierre Garcon, Marquise Goodwin, Jeremy Kerley, Vance McDonald and company. He has some solid targets around him, but will Hoyer be the starter for the whole season is the first question. The second question is will Brian Hoyer be able to lead a team by throwing over 30 passing touchdowns.
9 Will - Derek Carr
Derek Carr is coming off of what could have potentially been an MVP caliber season in 2016, but an injury doomed Derek Carr and the Oakland Raiders for the rest of the 2016 season. When Carr went down so did Oakland's chance of winning a Super Bowl title, now in 2017 Carr is out to prove that last season was not a fluke. Carr and the Oakland Raiders have an all-around great offense, which next season will include "Beast Mode" himself Marshawn Lynch. With Lynch as your running back it opens up the play action passing game which Derek Carr thrives in.
Carr's receiving core consists of Amari Cooper, Michael Crabtree, Cordarrelle Patterson, Seth Roberts, Jared Cook and company. Derek Carr has thrown for over 30 touchdowns once in his three year career so far, and will look to continue to improve as he will look to lead the Raiders to where they were suppose to go a season ago.
8 Won't - Jared Goff
Jared Goff was taken with the number one overall pick in the 2016 NFL Draft, and had a very rocky rookie season. Goff's potential is higher than he showed a season ago, but with the talent that he has at wide receiver it is tough for him to be able to throw more than 30 touchdowns in the 2017 season. There is no legit number one receiver that is on the Los Angeles Rams' roster and that is a huge part of the reason why Goff struggled in 2016.
Goff's receiving core consists of Robert Woods, Tavon Austin, and company. Those two receivers are the only household names that Goff has to throw the ball to. If the Rams' passing offense is not successful than the rushing attack is not successful. When there is no play action plays that works because they know that they can stop the offense no matter what makes it hard to believe that Goff will get 30 touchdown passes.
7 Will - Marcus Mariota
Marcus Mariota is a former Heisman Trophy winner and has performed pretty well so far in his two seasons in the NFL. He has helped change the culture of the Tennessee Titans. They are poised to have a great 2017 season and Mariota is a huge reason why. The Titans receiving core does not stick out at you in any shape or form, but with Mariota being the quarterback it makes the receivers around him better.
Mariota's receiving core consists of Rishard Matthews, Delanie Walker, Tajae Sharpe, Harry Douglas, rookie Corey Davis, and company. Mariota also has a two headed monster as his running back duo in DeMarco Murray, and Derrick Henry. Those two help Mariota be able to have time to throw the ball, but has all of the opportunities in the world to be able to throw the football. With all of these different aspects of the game going right for the Titans it is not hard to believe that Mariota will throw for 30 plus touchdowns in 2017.
6 Won't - Tyrod Taylor
Tyrod Taylor is a mobile quarterback who likes to use his legs at times rather than his arm. Especially with Buffalo's running game being the best in the league from a season ago, but it is because that Taylor and McCoy are a great quarterback/running back rushing duo. Taylor has started 2 seasons in Buffalo and has not thrown more than 20 touchdowns in a single season. He is one of the mobile quarterbacks that are currently in the game today, but he has not shown that he can be an effective quarterback in the league today.
Taylor's receiving core consists of Sammy Watkins, Andre Holmes, Charles Clay, rookie Zay Jones and company. Taylor does have a nice duo in Watkins and Jones, but Jones has not played a game in the NFL yet. With that being said if Taylor wants to even potentially come close to 30 touchdowns for this upcoming season he needs both Watkins and Jones to be prime time targets for the Bills in 2017, but don't count on it.
5 Will - Tom Brady
Tom Brady has thrown for 30 plus touchdowns six times in his illustrious career, and is poised to do it again in 2017. Brady is coming off one of the best seasons of his career in 2016, and with the acquisitions that New England got he looks like he can top that in 2017. The targets that the Patriots have for Brady looking like he could be in the MVP talk in 2017, and that Brady could be a 40-year-old MVP which has never been done in NFL history.
Brady's targets consists of Julian Edelman, Rob Gronkowski, Danny Amendola, Chris Hogan, Malcom Mitchell, recently acquired Dwayne Allen, Brandin Cooks, and company. The Patriots also have running backs who strive by catching the football out of the backfield in James White, Dion Lewis, and company. Look for Brady to put up some serious numbers in 2017, and to be in the MVP discussion talks.
4 Won't - Deshaun Watson
Deshaun Watson is entering his rookie season, and looks like that he is one rookie that has the best scenario entering the league in 2017. He looks to be the guy that will start for the Texans in Week 1, and he has one not only one of the best receivers in the league, but he also has one of the best defenses to help him out. Watson in college was a very consistent quarterback, but in the NFL look for him to struggle at first.
Watson's receiving core consists of DeAndre Hopkins, Will Fuller, Jaelen Strong, Braxton Miller, C.J. Fiedorowicz, and company. Houston could have used a quarterback last season if they wanted to be a serious contender, and the Texans believe that they have found him in Deshaun Watson. Look for Watson to be a upgrade from Osweiler a year ago, but he won't throw for 30 touchdowns.
3 Will - Drew Brees
Drew Brees has thrown for 30 plus touchdowns for nine straight seasons, and will look to make it ten straight seasons in 2017. He has been one of the most consistent quarterbacks since 2008, but the teams that he has played on has struggled to help bring Brees to the playoffs since 2013. The Saints have had one of the best offenses in the league with Brees at running the show, and 2017 should be no different.
Brees' receiving core consists of Michael Thomas, Ted Ginn Jr., Brandon Coleman, Willie Snead, Coby Fleener, and company. Brees has made receivers look so talented in his time in New Orleans, and has helped put some receivers on the map in the NFL so to speak. Look for Brees to potentially lead the league in touchdown passes and to be one of the better quarterbacks in 2017.
2 Won't - Ryan Tannehill
Ryan Tannehill is coming off of a sprain in his ACL and MCL, and is looking to help bring the Dolphins back to the playoffs. The Dolphins offense was not the same without Tannehill and it showed down the stretch of the regular season, and into the postseason. That being said with the emergence of Jay Ajayi, Tannehill's chances of putting up 30 touchdowns are slimming more and more.
Tannehill's receiving core consists of Jarvis Landry, Kenny Stills, DeVante Parker, recently acquired Julius Thomas and company. It is not that the Dolphins' receiving core is bad, it is just that it is not as good as most of the teams on this list. With that being said Tannehill has never thrown for 30 touchdowns, and don't look for him to make the 2017 season the first one of his career.
1 Will - Aaron Rodgers
Aaron Rodgers has thrown for 30 plus touchdowns six times in his career, including three straight seasons (2014-2016). Green Bay has been one of the most consistent teams in the 2010s and it is due to the fact that they have had some great quarterbacks play for them. Rodgers has the targets to continue to improve his numbers year after year, and always seems to find his way into the MVP discussions.
Rodgers' receiving core consists of Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, Davante Adams, Ty Montgomery, free agent signing Martellus Bennett and company. With the addition of Bennett for Rodgers look for Jordy, Randall, and Davante to be able to get open more as there are so many threats on the field. With all of these receiver threats on the field for Rodgers it is more than likely that 30 passing touchdowns for him seems easily accomplishable.
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